Friday, August 29, 2014

ASEAN: An emerging & regional player?



The great powers - U.S.A, emerging China - and others regional powers and countries see and assume the ASEAN – Association of Southeast Asian Nations - another emerging security and economic community. To have more political and economic leverage than each other in the region, both U.S.A and China try to have close relations with ASEAN. Generally speaking, as a new regional player ASEAN is the emerging power, but the intra-ASEAN problems and conflicts have significantly undermined and affected the overall potential of the ASEAN.  

After ASEAN initiated ARF – ASEAN Regional Forum - dominant courtiers and union like, U.S.A, China, E.U, India, Russia, and Japan joined it enthusiastically. Soon after joining ARF, aforementioned players appointed their ambassadors to ASEAN, which might show the importance of ASEAN. U.S.A. ambassador to ASEAN, Scot Marcial explained the importance the association “Southeast Asia is an indispensible partner for the United States in trying to deal with the global financial crisis, climate change, and range of other issues in the world.” “We are looking to the ASEAN to be a partner in a whole host of issues.”[1] Beside nominating Ambassador to ASEAN, United State signed the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in July 2009 and President Obama attended the first ASEAN-US summit in Singapore.

China changed their foreign policy toward ASEAN after 1990s, because of the fear that some other great powers, which China sees rival may have strong influence in the region. China boosted their economic ties and cooperation with ASEAN members to the extent that now ASEAN is the only trade member, where China has trade deficit. Southeast Asia is vital for China through which she exports almost 75% of goods to Middle East. ASEAN is equally important for Russia too. As Paradorn Rangsimaporn argued, Russia attached greater importance to relation with Asia, “Moscow sees ASEAN as ripe with opportunities for Russia to enhance its influence in Southeast Asia and across East Asia”[2]. Besides that, E.U, Japan, and India try to strengthen their relation and ties with ASEAN particularly in the recent past. To conclude, each great/regional/emerging player for keeping their influence tries to have better relations and strengthen ties with ASEAN.

In late 1990s and 21st century, ASEAN has been expanded to 10 members and established sub-communities; ASC, AEC, and ASCC and drew a charter. Tellingly, we can say that they brought positive changes in their policy that in turns boost the importance of ASEAN, “A key element of this ASEAN strategy is the co-engagement of China, the U.S, Japan and India”[3]. ASEAN members do insist to enhance the idea of regionalism within to play vital and constructive role in solving and settling intra-ASEAN problems. “In the face of difficulty and challenge, regionalism is the only way. There is no alternative. This has been the insight and the decision of ASEAN leaders.”[4]

Though great and emerging powers view ASEAN as an important partner both in politics and economics, intra-ASEAN problems and conflicts may downplay the emerging influence of ASEAN. Though it seems naïve to compare ASEAN to European Community, but limited interactions – social, political, and cultural - among ASEAN adversely affect overall status of them. People feel more isolated and heterogeneous. Below figures of recent survey conducted in ASEAN countries show how they view each other. [5]

1
Similarity in
Agree
Disagree
2
Culture
64.4
32.6
3
Economy
39.7
60.3
4
Politics
34.9
65.1
5
Being as a ASEAN
76.8
23.3


Current problems among ASEAN members; a) Malaysia-Singapore: Land reclamation; territorial disputes; and water supply, b) Thai-Cambodia: Preah Vihear Temple; and Angkor Wat temple, c) Malaysia-Philippines: Territorial claims; insurgency; and illegal migration, d) Malaysia-Indonesia: Territorial claims; and illegal migrants in Malaysia, e) Malaysia-Thai: Separatist insurgency; illegal immigrants; illegal fishing; and territorial claims, and f) Myanmar-Thai: territorial disputes; and historical image of enemy make it difficult to cooperate each other in great platform. Pointing finger and blaming other is a part of Asian culture. Secretary general of ASEAN Rodolfo C. Severino argued that problems exist as a heritage of colonialism, “the colonial powers left unresolved, or had created, territorial, ethnic and economic issues that engendered an environment of dispute and suspicion between the new nations that emerged in Southeast Asia.”[6] But the question that what ASEAN has done to tackle these problems remained unanswered.

One possible reason might be the lack of a general consensus and concession or highly prioritization of domestic or national interest as Shaun Narine said, “countries cooperate in regional organization till the domestic priorities unchallenged.”[7] Secondly, adopting non-intervention policy or an unwillingness of ASEAN among members’ countries, as Amitav Acharya mentioned “indeed, adherence to non-intervention is said to have thwarted ASEAN’s ability to responds to the East Timor crisis and apply genuine pressure on Burma.”[8]

For settling and resolving intra-ASEAN conflicts, members’ countries have to develop policy where they boost cooperation, harmony and interactions in various aspects. Although ‘cooperation’ is being repeatedly mentioned in ASEAN summits till now far from in practice. Rodolfo Severino insists on regional solution and cooperation, “growing trans-national problems, notably those pertaining to the marine and atmospheric environment and cross-border crimes, are susceptible only of regional solutions, which means more intensive ASEAN cooperation in a broader range of areas” is required. He further argues that, “ASEAN is emerging as a true community or even family.”[9]

As an emerging power and heterogeneous society, ASEAN has yet to reach a real security community and dominate power. But arguably they are only a few steps away. As Mely Caballero-Anthony says “security and democracy are ‘complementary’ to changes being made in ASEAN.” The recent political and policy changes in Southeast Asia particularly in Myanmar and Indonesia, we can argue they are stepping toward democracy, which plays vital rule accordingly to Mely Caballero-Anthony “democratization in Southeast Asia allows new actors, both public and private to become involved in forging a regional identity.”[10] However, political unrest followed by military coup in Thailand may halt some aspects of democratization in the region.

To conclude as Shaun Narine mentioned, “Despite the [intra-ASEAN] problems, ASEAN has the greatest prospect for evolving in the twenty first century.”[11]


Bibliography

1.     Marcial, Scot, US policy toward ASEAN, Feb.26.2009 [www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/2009/02/119967.htm] accessed date Feb.24.2012
2.     Myoe, Maung, SEA International relation, class lecture, IUJ, Mar.2012
3.     Rangsimaporn, Paradorn, Russia’s Search for Influence Southeast Asia, Asian Survey, (Vol. 49, Issue 5, pp. 786-808, 2009)
4.     Acharya, Amitav, Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia, 2nd edition, Routledge, New York, 2009
5.     Severino, C. Rodolfo, ASEAN faces the future, ASEAN Secretariat, 2001
6.     Thompson, C. Eric and Thianthai, Attitudes and Awareness toward ASEAN, ISEAS, Singapore, 2008.
7.     Shaun Narine. "ASEAN in the twenty-first century: a skeptical review", Cambridge Review of International Affairs (Vol. 22, No. 3; September 2009)
8.     Mely Caballero-Anthony. "Challenging Change: Nontraditional Security, Democracy, and Regionalism" in Donald K. Emmerson (ed.) Hard Choice: Security, Democracy, and Regionalism in Southeast Asia (Singapore: ISEAS, 2009)





[2] Russia’s Search for Influence Southeast Asia
[3] Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia P.224
[4] ASEAN faces the future
[5]  Attitudes and Awareness toward ASEAN
[6] ASEAN faces the future
[7] ASEANin the twenty first century
[8] Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia P.258
[9] ASEAN faces the future
[10] Challenging Change: Nontraditional Security, Democracy, and Regionalism
[11] ASEAN in the twenty first century

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