Saturday, May 31, 2014

Ethnicity: A, if not the, driving force in Afghan election 2014

Afghanistan as a multiethnic and tribal society has been transitioning since the ousting of the Taliban regime in late 2001. However, seemingly people nowadays – after 13 years – decide based on ethnicity rather than meritocracy. This claim is virtually proved during 2014 election. More than 87.29% votes were cast in favor of Dr. Abdullah Abdullah in his Panjshir province where almost all residents are Tajik, while 63.35% for Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai in Logar where great portion of Ahmadzai tribe populated.

The incumbent government is unprecedented in terms of participation from various ethnicities in the modern history of Afghanistan (1747), and this multiethnic structure of the government is largely perceived a great step toward nation building. This nascent process of nation building will take at least a generation to be matured. However, by 66% participation in first round of election, Afghans showed their commitment and enthusiasm for their future.

The teams’ structure of the leading runners Dr. Abdullah Abdullah and Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai per se tells how ethnicity matters in intra-Afghan politics. Dr. Abdullah ethnic Tajik - claimed to be Pashtun of Kandahar - selected Pashtun and Hazara his first and second vice presidents respectively. Likewise, Ashraf Ghani ethnic Pashtun selected Uzbek and Hazara his first and second vice presidents respectively.

To secure the other ethnicities votes, both runners have targeted leading and influential personalities of each ethnicity. Dr. Zalmai Rasool and Gul Agha Shirzai, ethnic Pashtun, who obtained 11.37 % and 1.57 % respectively in the first round of election, joined Dr. Abdullah Abdullah. Ahmad Zia Massoud, ethnic Tajik and first vice president of Dr. Zalmai Rasool in his first round of election, joined Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai. Although the dominance and popularity of the coalition members are under question, both runners tried to demonstrate their next government will be inclusive. This mix and inclusive team structure should be appraised, unless it is symbolic and for sheer demonstration.

Afghan Independent Election Commission (IEC) has already expressed their concerns and demanded the runners to avoid using ethnicity-oriented issues during their election campaign.  This race-based campaign is trending and is very tangible on Facebook and Twitter promoted by assigned social-media savvies.

Eligible Afghans rarely discuss, if they understand, candidates’ future policy and plans about how to tackle corruption, meet security challenges, support and secure Afghan trade in this competitive market and peruse foreign relations of the so-called graveyard country with brother neighbors. But the voters decide based on ethnicity and personality. Besides that, when it comes to criticism – the dominate part of the so-called Afghan intellectuals and youths’ behavior - they are critiquing personality rather than policy. Labeling someone racist, fascist, and narrow-minded is the easiest answer to wrap up debates and arguments.


Afghan media outlets and their employees are equally responsible for diverging and pushing people in ethnicity line particularly during the election campaign. Prominent media and Journalists who have thousands of fans posting and tweeting discriminative messages and ideas, which go viral.


Election as a competition will end in around a month. We as Afghans and bureaucrats are the supplementing component of the next government. The criteria for choosing a person should be merit, though this ‘should be’ for the time being seems sheer idealistic. Afghanistan, ruled by tribalism for more than three centuries, is in transition and ethnicity is a if not the driving force to shape overall outcome of the runoff and maybe at least in the next election of 2019 as well.